There are some indicators in the latest COVID-19 data showing the Sauk Valley region experiencing an uptick in cases ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday. Not every data point shows an upward trend, however.
The data presented was the most readily available as of Saturday.
Daily new cases
From the KSB Hospital dashboard, which tracks the daily number of cases for Lee, Ogle and Whiteside counties, there was a jump on consecutive days, Tuesday, Nov. 16 and Wednesday Nov. 17.
For Ogle, there were 36 new cases on Tuesday and 37 new cases on Wednesday. For Whiteside, it went from 27 new cases to 32 new cases. For Lee, it was seven new cases to 10 new cases.
The remainder of the week had not yet been posted.
New cases per 100K
This data set is from the Illinois Department of Public Health, and it reflects new cases per 100,000 in the days spanning Week 45 (between Nov. 7 and Nov. 13).
Carroll County added 70 new cases, putting its rate at 489 cases per 100,000. It’s not been that high since the rate was 1754 per 100,000 on July 17.
Ogle County saw 190 new cases, putting its rate at 373 cases per 100,000. That’s the highest rate since Jan. 9, when it was 503 per 100,000.
Whiteside County recorded 144 new cases, putting its rate at 259 per 100,000. It was last at that level on Sept. 18, when it was 277 per 100,000.
Lee County had 54 new cases, a rate of 158 per 100,000. It was at 175 per 100,000 on Oct. 30.
Test positivity, 7-day average
Daily updates for test positivity show far less variance in the span between Nov. 6 and Nov. 15. All are below the 8% threshold.
In Carroll County, the rolling average fell between 4.9 and 6.4. In Lee, it was between 2.3 and 2.7. In Ogle, it was between 5.0 and 6.8. In Whiteside, it was between 2.7 and 3.8.
Transmission rates
This information was updated by the IDPH on Nov. 18 and uses the number of active cases in a 7-day total to calculate a rate of transmission.
Ogle County had a positivity rate of 7.52%, which was the 14th highest in the state.
For comparison, the state’s highest are Edwards at 14.13%, Jo Davies at 12.38%, Richmond at 11.6%, Mendard at 10.63% and Boone at 9.35%.
Whiteside County was at 4.68%, Lee was at 3.69% and Carroll was at 3.32%.
School outbreaks
A new case was reported Nov. 16 affecting fewer than five students at Oregon High School. The source was nonsport activities.
Lee, Whiteside, and Carroll counties have no active school outbreaks.
Vaccinations
Sauk Valley continues to fall below the state’s rate of fully vaccinated persons at 57.43%. Lee is at 53.13%, Ogle at 50.52%, Whiteside at 47.32% and Carroll at 42.53%.
Source: The Daily Chronicle
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